Trade War

The global economy is in the early stages of a second China shock as the Chinese economy moves up the manufacturing value chain to produce advanced technology for export. China’s advantage lies in government subsidies and an artificially suppressed exchange rate. If advanced economies in the West are to avoid the repetition of job loss and continued trade deficits witnessed over the last two decades, or the pyrrhic policies like tariffs implemented to address these harms, they must pursue institutional change, writes Joshua Banerjee.

Trade wars between the United States and Canada have sharply reduced the number of Canadian tourists traveling to the U.S. In new research, André Kurmann, Étienne Lalé, and Julien Martin use novel methods to measure how this decline in tourism has negatively impacted American workers and communities.

Karthik Ramanna writes that if the United States adopts a trade policy based on a dynamic emissions accounting method, it can achieve President Donald Trump’s goal of leveling the manufacturing playing field for American companies by penalizing foreign “dirty” producers, while also mitigating inflation and the risk of a trade war.