The European Union’s draft Merger Guidelines assign multiple meanings to several key terms, making competition enforcement less predictable. Anouk van der Veer, Max van Iersel, and Giorgio Monti explore the Guideline’s inconsistent use of three of these terms: competitiveness, dynamic, and capabilities.

COMMENTARY

Online Markets for Loans are Punishing Borrowers for Shopping     

Digital marketplaces make comparing credit lending options easier for potential borrowers. However, Jeromee "JJ" Johnson cautions that online platforms may be turning comparison itself into a signal to lenders—at a cost to applicants.

RESEARCH

More AI-Exposed Industries and States Are Benefiting, But Results Are Heterogeneous

In new research, Christos Makridis and Andrew Johnston find that industries exposed to generative AI are seeing an increase in production, employment, and wages. However, the majority of AI-driven revenue growth is channelled back to capital as profits, rather than to workers.
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Wanted: Guidance on Democracy and Merger Control

Although the European Union’s draft Merger Guidelines acknowledge that consolidation in digital platforms can harm the democratic process, they need to up their efforts to protect media competition and a quality public sphere. Vicky Robertson provides three steps to rectify this oversight.

The EU Draft Merger Guidelines’ Treatment of Capabilities Needs Revisiting

The European Commission draft merger guidelines reorient merger analysis to focus on “capabilities”: how firms compete in current markets and pivot to future ones. However, the guidelines combine “capabilities” with what strategic management scholars call “resources.” This erroneous amalgamation oversimplifies merger assessment and risks inaccurate analysis, writes Selcukhan Unekbas.

Merger Control Meets Industrial Policy With the New EU Merger Guidelines

The European Commission’s draft merger Guidelines adopt the advice of the Draghi report on European Union competitiveness to tailor competition law to promote goals that have traditionally fallen under industrial, trade, and national security policy. Conceptual ambiguity and the convergence of these policy areas risk undermining consumer welfare, entrenching incumbents, and opening regulation to business capture, write Annika Stöhr and Oliver Budzinski.

A Simple and Effective Repair for the Google Search Remedy

The caution of Judge Amit Mehta’s remedy in the Google Search case is unlikely to open internet search to competition. Steve Salop recommends several amendments to the remedy that can improve competition without undercutting the revenue that has benefited Google’s partners to date.

Women-Owned Firms Are Pushed to Liquidate During Bankruptcy

New research by Hosein Maleki, Mahsa Kaviani, Simi Kedia, and Shay Pourvosoughi shows that women-owned firms are less likely to get a second chance after filing for bankruptcy and that the gap between male- and female-owned firm filings widens when courts are overloaded.

READING LISTS

Americans spend significantly more on health care than any other country. Why? Answers to this question range from hospital monopolies to perverse incentives to opaque pricing to medical licensing to pharmaceutical firms abusing IP practices to “creeping consolidation.” Why is the US health care system so broken? And what can antirust do about it? Catch-up on our coverage of antitrust and the US health care system.

The Pharmaceutical Benefits Manager Settlements Are a Novel Advance for the FTC and Competition Enforcement

In February, the Federal Trade Commission settled with pharmaceutical benefits manager (PBM) Express Scripts. The FTC had sued Express Scripts and two other large PBMs under the long dormant Section 5 of the FTC Act, which targets “unfair methods of competition.” The settlement suggests that the FTC may succeed in addressing the convoluted contracts between PBMs, drug manufacturers, health insurers, and employers that drive up drug prices for Americans. It also opens unchartered territory for antitrust enforcement and the limits of Section 5, argue Fiona Scott Morton and Mariah Smith.

How Competition Has Increased Fraud in Medicare’s DME Program

In new research, Renuka Diwan, Paul Eliason, Riley League, Ryan C. McDevitt, James W. Roberts, and Jetson Leder-Luis investigate how Medicare’s shift to a competitive bidding system to reduce prices has inadvertently shifted market share to fraudulent suppliers.

Do Pharmaceutical Acquisitions Undermine Innovation by Disrupting Human Capital?

Antitrust authorities increasingly assess mergers through the lens of innovation, particularly in research-intensive sectors such as pharmaceuticals. In new research, Carmine Ornaghi and Lorenzo Cassi show how mergers disrupt human capital and reduce innovation in what they call manslaughter acquisitions.

Common Ownership May Reduce the Entry of Cheaper Generic Drugs

In new research, Martin Schmalz and Jin Xie examine how shareholder preferences influence the United States pharmaceutical industry. They find that generic-drug manufacturers sometimes harm their firms’ own value when doing so benefits shareholder portfolios, who frequently have stakes in competing brand-name firms.

George J. Stigler, one of the most influential economists of the 20th century, won the Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences in 1982 “for his seminal studies of industrial structures, functioning of markets, and causes and effects of public regulation.” His research upended the idea that government regulation was effective at correcting private-market failures. Stigler introduced the idea of regulatory capture, in which regulators could be dominated by special interests. These regulators would work for the benefit of large, monied organizations rather than the public good. Catch up on ProMarket's coverage of his legacy.

Is the SEC’s Whistleblower Program Distorting Enforcement?

Using a proprietary dataset, Dave Jochnowitz, Steven Singer, and Mona Birjandi analyze trends in the Securities and Exchange Commission’s whistleblower program. They find that sanctions have concentrated in a select few violation categories, raising the possibility that the program is structurally guiding enforcers to focus on certain violation types to the neglect of others.

How To Rebuild Trust in America

Matt Lucky reviews Jimmy Wales’ new book The Seven Rules of Trust: A Blueprint for Building Things that Last, now out at Penguin Press.

Antitrust, Big Tech, and the Financial Markets Blind Spot 

In new research, Anik Bhaduri discusses how current antitrust enforcement is insufficient to address the economic influence of Big Tech companies. He argues that their market power stems from their privileged position on financial markets and their unique organizational structures, and antitrust reforms should therefore be complemented with reforms to corporate and securities law to effectively address the concentration of private power.

How To Enforce the Robinson-Patman Act Without Reinventing Its Intent

The antitrust agencies’ revival of the Robinson-Patman Act risks undercutting legitimate business practices that benefit consumers. However, there is a role the Act can play in protecting small businesses, writes Darren Tucker.

Why Big Business Loves Costly Regulations   

In new research, Luca Macedoni and Ariel Weinberger argue that large firms are more likely to lobby in favor of strict industry regulations when they can reduce competition by imposing high fixed costs on smaller, less-profitable firms.

Populism Hurts Growth, Even When the Economy Looks Strong

In new research, Ido Baum, Leszek Balcerowicz, Jakub Karnowski and Andrzej Rzońca assess how Poland achieved economic growth with a populist government. They argue that the economic success is misleading and Poland’s leading party passed harmful policies that affect the country’s long-term growth opportunities. 

How a 2016 Accounting Rule Fueled Big Tech’s Investments in AI Startups

An accounting rule introduced by the Financial Accounting Standards Board in 2016 was designed to address a flaw in the previous regime that contributed to the 2008 Financial Crisis. However, this same rule is enabling the circuit of investments that flows from Big Tech companies to artificial intelligence startups, whose increased valuation from these investments increases the value of the Big Tech companies, which they can then reinvest in the AI startups. The risk is an AI bubble that, if it pops, will also blow up Americans’ savings, writes Hera Hyeonseo Lee.

COLUMNS

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