Research

How Well Do Divestiture Remedies Work for Supermarket Mergers?

In new research, Xiao Dong, Paul Koh, Devesh Raval, Dominic Smith, and Brett Wendling evaluate how well divestiture remedies work for mergers in the supermarket industry. They find that past supermarket divestitures lead to lower employment, reduced sales, and higher rates of exit from the market relative to comparable non-divested supermarkets.  

AI Is Not Reducing Employment but Rather Who Gets Hired

In a new working paper, Magnus Lodefalk, Lydia Löthman, Michael Koch, and Erik Engberg examine how generative AI is reshaping the labor market. They find little evidence that AI has cut the total number of jobs, but show that it has slowed hiring for the youngest workers, especially in the AI-exposed occupations where young women are concentrated. Over time, AI’s effect on entry-level roles risks thinning the next generation’s ability to build the skills and networks that careers are made of. 

The Evolution of Milton Friedman’s Legacy for Monetary Policy

2026 marks the fiftieth anniversary of University of Chicago professor Milton Friedman’s Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences. Michael D Bordo reflects on how Milton Friedman’s legacy has developed in this time. While Friedman’s revolutionary idea of monetarism has been superseded in some ways, his contributions have played a key role in the evolution of monetary policy and remain critical to contemporary macroeconomic research and central bank policy.

Women-Owned Firms Are Pushed to Liquidate During Bankruptcy

New research by Hosein Maleki, Mahsa Kaviani, Simi Kedia, and Shay Pourvosoughi shows that women-owned firms are less likely to get a second chance after filing for bankruptcy and that the gap between male- and female-owned firm filings widens when courts are overloaded.

Is the SEC’s Whistleblower Program Distorting Enforcement?

Using a proprietary dataset, Dave Jochnowitz, Steven Singer, and Mona Birjandi analyze trends in the Securities and Exchange Commission’s whistleblower program. They find that sanctions have concentrated in a select few violation categories, raising the possibility that the program is structurally guiding enforcers to focus on certain violation types to the neglect of others.

Antitrust, Big Tech, and the Financial Markets Blind Spot 

In new research, Anik Bhaduri discusses how current antitrust enforcement is insufficient to address the economic influence of Big Tech companies. He argues that their market power stems from their privileged position on financial markets and their unique organizational structures, and antitrust reforms should therefore be complemented with reforms to corporate and securities law to effectively address the concentration of private power.

Why Big Business Loves Costly Regulations   

In new research, Luca Macedoni and Ariel Weinberger argue that large firms are more likely to lobby in favor of strict industry regulations when they can reduce competition by imposing high fixed costs on smaller, less-profitable firms.

More AI-Exposed Industries and States Are Benefiting, But Results Are Heterogeneous

In new research, Christos Makridis and Andrew Johnston find that industries exposed to generative AI are seeing an increase in production, employment, and wages. However, the majority of AI-driven revenue growth is channelled back to capital as profits, rather than to workers.

Populism Hurts Growth, Even When the Economy Looks Strong

In new research, Ido Baum, Leszek Balcerowicz, Jakub Karnowski and Andrzej Rzońca assess how Poland achieved economic growth with a populist government. They argue that the economic success is misleading and Poland’s leading party passed harmful policies that affect the country’s long-term growth opportunities. 

The DMA’s Google Maps Experiment Shows That Competition Is Not One Click Away

In new research, Louis Pape and Michelangelo Rossi find that the European Union’s Digital Markets Act’s prohibition on self-preferencing had little effect on the popularity of Google Maps relative to competitors. User preference for the incumbent service appears to outweigh frictional barriers to access.

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